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SHADOW SEASON / D1 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLAX · High ≥ 76°F

Los Angeles, CA · 20260928 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 27 · 08:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 28 · 08:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 29 · 08:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 06 · 08:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLAX ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Los_Angeles.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
>99%
AIFS
97%
EPS
87%
ICON
68%
HRES
63%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS97%Sep 27 · 00:00 UTCSep 27 · 07:23 UTCSep 27 · 07:23 UTC
EPS87%Sep 26 · 00:00 UTCSep 26 · 15:14 UTCSep 26 · 15:14 UTC
HRES63%Sep 27 · 00:00 UTCSep 27 · 07:23 UTCSep 27 · 07:23 UTC
ICON68%Sep 27 · 00:00 UTCSep 27 · 04:31 UTCSep 27 · 04:31 UTC
WN2>99%Sep 26 · 18:00 UTCSep 27 · 05:03 UTCSep 27 · 05:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSEPS250.9215023.041.96+1.96 / -1.96
ICONHRES250.6554016.398.62+8.62 / -8.62

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 77°F · Oct 02 · 08:09 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 29 · 12:41 UTC77°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260928:D1