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SHADOW SEASON / D1 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 79°F

New York, NY · 20260911 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 10 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 11 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 12 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 19 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
99%
WN2
94%
HRES
83%
AIFS
77%
ICON
49%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS77%Sep 09 · 18:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTC
EPS99%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTC
HRES83%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTC
ICON49%Sep 10 · 00:00 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTC
WN294%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSAIFS380.8769533.324.68+4.68 / -4.68
HRESICON500.6603533.0216.98+16.98 / -16.98

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 80°F · Sep 15 · 05:38 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 12 · 09:59 UTC80°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260911:D1