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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 78°F

New York, NY · 20260912 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 09 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 12 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 13 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 20 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
76%
HRES
74%
EPS
68%
AIFS
66%
ICON
26%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS66%Sep 08 · 18:00 UTCSep 09 · 01:29 UTCSep 09 · 01:29 UTC
EPS68%Sep 08 · 00:00 UTCSep 08 · 15:49 UTCSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
HRES74%Sep 08 · 12:00 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTC
ICON26%Sep 08 · 12:00 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTC
WN276%Sep 08 · 12:00 UTCSep 08 · 22:57 UTCSep 08 · 22:57 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
WN2AIFS470.7059033.1813.82+13.82 / -13.82
HRESEPS250.7057017.647.36+7.36 / -7.36

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 79°F · Sep 16 · 05:19 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 13 · 12:39 UTC79°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260912:D3