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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 78°F

New York, NY · 20260913 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 10 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 13 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 14 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 21 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus ICON

IFS Ensemble versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS HRES. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
95%
HRES
92%
ICON
89%
AIFS
82%
EPS
77%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS82%Sep 09 · 18:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTC
EPS77%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTC
HRES92%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTC
ICON89%Sep 10 · 00:00 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTC
WN295%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
ICONAIFS250.8553021.383.62+3.62 / -3.62
WN2EPS380.8632532.805.20+5.20 / -5.20

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 82°F · Sep 17 · 05:02 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 14 · 09:08 UTC82°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260913:D3