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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 78°F

New York, NY · 20260914 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 11 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 14 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 15 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 22 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
90%
EPS
76%
HRES
72%
AIFS
57%
ICON
50%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS57%Sep 10 · 18:00 UTCSep 11 · 01:28 UTCSep 11 · 01:28 UTC
EPS76%Sep 10 · 00:00 UTCSep 11 · 01:13 UTCSep 11 · 01:13 UTC
HRES72%Sep 10 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 19:21 UTCSep 10 · 19:21 UTC
ICON50%Sep 11 · 00:00 UTCSep 11 · 04:32 UTCSep 11 · 04:32 UTC
WN290%Sep 10 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 22:55 UTCSep 10 · 22:55 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSAIFS500.6622533.1116.89+16.89 / -16.89
HRESICON540.6113033.0120.99+20.99 / -20.99

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 78°F · Sep 18 · 05:43 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 15 · 09:45 UTC78°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260914:D3