WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
← Model league
SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 77°F

New York, NY · 20260915 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 10 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 15 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 16 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 23 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
HRES
91%
EPS
76%
WN2
58%
ICON
30%
AIFS
28%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS28%Sep 09 · 18:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTC
EPS76%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTC
HRES91%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTC
ICON30%Sep 10 · 00:00 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTC
WN258%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
WN2AIFS580.4310025.0033.00-25.00 / +25.00
HRESEPS390.8384532.706.30-32.70 / +32.70

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 73°F · Sep 19 · 05:25 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 16 · 09:26 UTC73°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260915:D5