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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 77°F

New York, NY · 20260916 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 13 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 16 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 17 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 24 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

IFS Ensemble versus ICON

WeatherNext 2 versus IFS HRES

Bye: AIFS Single. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
ICON
86%
WN2
78%
AIFS
68%
EPS
54%
HRES
53%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS68%Sep 12 · 18:00 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTC
EPS54%Sep 12 · 00:00 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTC
HRES53%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTC
ICON86%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTC
WN278%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 23:02 UTCSep 12 · 23:02 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
ICONEPS250.6962517.417.59+7.59 / -7.59
WN2HRES500.6558532.7917.21+17.21 / -17.21

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 79°F · Sep 20 · 05:09 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 17 · 09:08 UTC79°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260916:D3