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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 76°F

New York, NY · 20260918 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 13 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 18 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 19 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 26 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS HRES

ICON versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
97%
HRES
95%
EPS
87%
AIFS
81%
ICON
62%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS81%Sep 12 · 18:00 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTC
EPS87%Sep 12 · 00:00 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTC
HRES95%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTC
ICON62%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTC
WN297%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 23:02 UTCSep 12 · 23:02 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
HRESAIFS370.8804532.584.42+4.42 / -4.42
WN2ICON410.7962532.658.35+8.35 / -8.35

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 81°F · Sep 22 · 05:46 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 19 · 09:32 UTC81°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260918:D5