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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 75°F

New York, NY · 20260922 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 19 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 22 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 23 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 30 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
19%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS6%Sep 18 · 18:00 UTCSep 19 · 01:33 UTCSep 19 · 01:33 UTC
EPS19%Sep 18 · 00:00 UTCSep 18 · 14:59 UTCSep 18 · 14:59 UTC
HRES5%Sep 18 · 12:00 UTCSep 18 · 22:28 UTCSep 18 · 22:28 UTC
ICON3%Sep 19 · 00:00 UTCSep 19 · 04:23 UTCSep 19 · 04:23 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSHRES220.120652.6519.35-2.65 / +2.65

AIFS Single / WeatherNext 2: Missing eligible forecast.

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 69°F · Sep 26 · 05:20 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 23 · 09:45 UTC69°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260922:D3