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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 72°F

New York, NY · 20260930 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 27 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 30 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 01 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 08 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS HRES

ICON versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
91%
WN2
84%
AIFS
81%
ICON
77%
HRES
74%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS81%Sep 26 · 18:00 UTCSep 27 · 01:23 UTCSep 27 · 01:23 UTC
EPS91%Sep 26 · 00:00 UTCSep 26 · 14:58 UTCSep 26 · 14:58 UTC
HRES74%Sep 26 · 12:00 UTCSep 26 · 19:24 UTCSep 26 · 19:24 UTC
ICON77%Sep 27 · 00:00 UTCSep 27 · 04:31 UTCSep 27 · 04:31 UTC
WN284%Sep 26 · 12:00 UTCSep 26 · 23:03 UTCSep 26 · 23:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSHRES200.7717015.434.57+4.57 / -4.57
WN2ICON250.8049020.124.88+4.88 / -4.88

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 74°F · Oct 04 · 05:31 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 01 · 10:03 UTC74°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260930:D3