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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 71°F

New York, NY · 20261002 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 27 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 02 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 03 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 10 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
>99%
EPS
95%
ICON
95%
AIFS
88%
HRES
75%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS88%Sep 26 · 18:00 UTCSep 27 · 01:23 UTCSep 27 · 01:23 UTC
EPS95%Sep 26 · 00:00 UTCSep 26 · 11:03 UTCSep 26 · 11:03 UTC
HRES75%Sep 26 · 12:00 UTCSep 26 · 19:24 UTCSep 26 · 19:24 UTC
ICON95%Sep 27 · 00:00 UTCSep 27 · 04:31 UTCSep 27 · 04:31 UTC
WN2>99%Sep 26 · 12:00 UTCSep 26 · 23:03 UTCSep 26 · 23:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSAIFS120.9174011.010.99+0.99 / -0.99
ICONHRES120.8464010.161.84+1.84 / -1.84

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 86°F · Oct 06 · 06:01 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 03 · 09:25 UTC86°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20261002:D5