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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLGA · High ≥ 69°F

New York, NY · 20261007 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineOct 02 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 07 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 08 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 15 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLGA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
40%
AIFS
24%
HRES
21%
EPS
10%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS24%Oct 01 · 18:00 UTCOct 02 · 01:28 UTCOct 02 · 01:29 UTC
EPS10%Oct 01 · 00:00 UTCOct 01 · 13:55 UTCOct 01 · 13:55 UTC
HRES21%Oct 01 · 12:00 UTCOct 01 · 23:07 UTCOct 01 · 23:07 UTC
WN240%Oct 01 · 18:00 UTCOct 02 · 04:54 UTCOct 02 · 04:54 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSEPS210.167003.5117.49-3.51 / +3.51

IFS HRES / ICON: Missing eligible forecast.

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 67°F · Oct 11 · 05:06 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 08 · 09:52 UTC67°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20261007:D5