WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
← Model league
SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KMIA · High ≥ 88°F

Miami, FL · 20261005 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineOct 02 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 05 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 06 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 13 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KMIA ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
94%
WN2
80%
AIFS
72%
HRES
64%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS72%Oct 01 · 18:00 UTCOct 02 · 01:29 UTCOct 02 · 01:29 UTC
EPS94%Oct 01 · 00:00 UTCOct 01 · 14:58 UTCOct 01 · 14:58 UTC
HRES64%Oct 01 · 12:00 UTCOct 01 · 19:26 UTCOct 01 · 19:26 UTC
WN280%Oct 01 · 18:00 UTCOct 02 · 04:54 UTCOct 02 · 04:54 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSAIFS210.8289517.413.59+3.59 / -3.59

IFS HRES / ICON: Missing eligible forecast.

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 90°F · Oct 09 · 05:49 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 06 · 09:09 UTC90°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KMIA:20261005:D3