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SHADOW SEASON / D1 CONTEST RECEIPT

KSLC · High ≥ 80°F

Salt Lake City, UT · 20260914 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 13 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 14 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 15 · 07:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 22 · 07:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KSLC ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus ICON

IFS Ensemble versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS HRES. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
94%
AIFS
11%
WN2
2%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS11%Sep 12 · 18:00 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTC
EPS94%Sep 12 · 00:00 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTC
HRES7%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTC
ICON2%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTC
WN22%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 23:03 UTCSep 12 · 23:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSICON40.065850.263.74-0.26 / +0.26
EPSWN2310.4765014.7716.23-14.77 / +14.77

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 72°F · Sep 18 · 07:47 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 15 · 09:45 UTC72°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KSLC:20260914:D1