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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KSLC · High ≥ 79°F

Salt Lake City, UT · 20260916 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 13 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 16 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 17 · 07:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 24 · 07:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KSLC ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
AIFS
97%
HRES
96%
WN2
89%
EPS
84%
ICON
76%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS97%Sep 12 · 18:00 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTCSep 13 · 01:21 UTC
EPS84%Sep 12 · 00:00 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTCSep 12 · 15:06 UTC
HRES96%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTCSep 12 · 22:32 UTC
ICON76%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTCSep 12 · 19:27 UTC
WN289%Sep 12 · 12:00 UTCSep 12 · 23:03 UTCSep 12 · 23:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSWN2250.9289023.221.78+1.78 / -1.78
HRESEPS370.9004033.313.69+3.69 / -3.69

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 89°F · Sep 20 · 07:13 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 17 · 09:08 UTC89°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KSLC:20260916:D3