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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KSLC · High ≥ 79°F

Salt Lake City, UT · 20260917 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 14 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 17 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 18 · 07:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 25 · 07:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KSLC ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus ICON

IFS Ensemble versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS HRES. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
HRES
97%
WN2
96%
ICON
92%
AIFS
87%
EPS
84%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS87%Sep 13 · 18:00 UTCSep 14 · 01:27 UTCSep 14 · 01:27 UTC
EPS84%Sep 13 · 00:00 UTCSep 13 · 14:58 UTCSep 13 · 14:58 UTC
HRES97%Sep 13 · 12:00 UTCSep 13 · 19:34 UTCSep 13 · 19:34 UTC
ICON92%Sep 13 · 00:00 UTCSep 13 · 07:32 UTCSep 13 · 07:32 UTC
WN296%Sep 13 · 18:00 UTCSep 14 · 05:02 UTCSep 14 · 05:02 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
ICONAIFS180.8956516.121.88+1.88 / -1.88
WN2EPS370.8984033.243.76+3.76 / -3.76

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 86°F · Sep 21 · 07:00 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 18 · 09:50 UTC86°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KSLC:20260917:D3