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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KSLC · High ≥ 78°F

Salt Lake City, UT · 20260919 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 16 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 19 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 20 · 07:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 27 · 07:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KSLC ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS HRES

ICON versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
56%
HRES
22%
AIFS
13%
WN2
12%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS13%Sep 15 · 18:00 UTCSep 16 · 01:26 UTCSep 16 · 01:26 UTC
EPS56%Sep 15 · 00:00 UTCSep 15 · 15:24 UTCSep 15 · 15:34 UTC
HRES22%Sep 15 · 12:00 UTCSep 15 · 22:21 UTCSep 15 · 22:21 UTC
ICON6%Sep 15 · 12:00 UTCSep 15 · 19:31 UTCSep 15 · 19:31 UTC
WN212%Sep 15 · 18:00 UTCSep 16 · 05:03 UTCSep 16 · 05:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
HRESAIFS250.175754.3920.61-4.39 / +4.39
WN2ICON250.089352.2322.77-2.23 / +2.23

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 70°F · Sep 23 · 19:05 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 22 · 18:11 UTC70°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KSLC:20260919:D3