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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KSLC · High ≥ 78°F

Salt Lake City, UT · 20260919 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 14 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 19 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 20 · 07:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 27 · 07:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KSLC ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
72%
ICON
67%
HRES
49%
AIFS
40%
WN2
34%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS40%Sep 13 · 18:00 UTCSep 14 · 01:27 UTCSep 14 · 01:27 UTC
EPS72%Sep 13 · 00:00 UTCSep 13 · 15:13 UTCSep 13 · 15:13 UTC
HRES49%Sep 13 · 12:00 UTCSep 13 · 23:09 UTCSep 13 · 23:09 UTC
ICON67%Sep 13 · 00:00 UTCSep 13 · 13:56 UTCSep 13 · 13:56 UTC
WN234%Sep 13 · 18:00 UTCSep 14 · 05:02 UTCSep 14 · 05:02 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSWN2250.373759.3415.66-9.34 / +9.34
EPSHRES240.6091014.629.38-14.62 / +14.62

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 70°F · Sep 23 · 19:05 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 22 · 18:11 UTC70°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KSLC:20260919:D5