KLAX / Fri Jun 12 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD

Los Angeles, CAHigh ≥ 76°F

FINAL OUTCOMENOTime unavailable

THE FORECAST FIELD

Who takes which side?

0% · NO50%YES · 100%

Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.

HOW A MODEL CONTRACT WORKS

Head-to-head preview

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED

Two model forecasts are needed to illustrate an opposing contract.

These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →

FOLLOW THE RUNS

Probability history

Recorded Reconstructed

Reconstructed from archived summary forecasts using a shared lead-dependent Gaussian error model. Times are initializations, not verified release times.

AIFS SingleGFSIFS archive

Inspect a forecast 2026-06-12T18:00:00+00:00 · UTC

View the forecast data

UTC	AIFS	GFS	IFS*
2026-05-28T12:00:00+00:00	1.9%	—	—
2026-05-28T18:00:00+00:00	33.5%	—	—
2026-05-29T00:00:00+00:00	54.2%	—	—
2026-05-29T06:00:00+00:00	45.2%	—	—
2026-05-29T12:00:00+00:00	58.5%	—	—
2026-05-29T18:00:00+00:00	38.0%	—	—
2026-05-30T00:00:00+00:00	63.6%	—	—
2026-05-30T06:00:00+00:00	90.7%	—	—
2026-05-30T12:00:00+00:00	54.8%	—	—
2026-05-30T18:00:00+00:00	34.0%	—	—
2026-05-31T00:00:00+00:00	50.0%	—	—
2026-05-31T06:00:00+00:00	40.0%	—	—
2026-05-31T12:00:00+00:00	76.4%	—	—
2026-05-31T18:00:00+00:00	73.0%	—	—
2026-06-01T00:00:00+00:00	73.9%	—	—
2026-06-01T06:00:00+00:00	68.0%	—	—
2026-06-01T12:00:00+00:00	39.5%	—	—
2026-06-01T18:00:00+00:00	77.7%	—	—
2026-06-02T00:00:00+00:00	50.5%	—	—
2026-06-02T12:00:00+00:00	55.1%	—	—
2026-06-02T18:00:00+00:00	60.8%	—	—
2026-06-03T00:00:00+00:00	85.2%	—	—
2026-06-03T06:00:00+00:00	47.0%	—	—
2026-06-03T12:00:00+00:00	38.0%	—	—
2026-06-03T18:00:00+00:00	40.8%	—	—
2026-06-04T00:00:00+00:00	98.7%	—	—
2026-06-04T06:00:00+00:00	98.4%	—	—
2026-06-04T12:00:00+00:00	79.8%	—	—
2026-06-04T18:00:00+00:00	71.4%	—	—
2026-06-05T00:00:00+00:00	67.6%	—	—
2026-06-05T06:00:00+00:00	82.9%	—	—
2026-06-05T12:00:00+00:00	72.5%	—	—
2026-06-05T18:00:00+00:00	71.1%	—	—
2026-06-06T00:00:00+00:00	84.4%	—	—
2026-06-06T06:00:00+00:00	87.0%	—	—
2026-06-06T12:00:00+00:00	92.2%	—	—
2026-06-06T18:00:00+00:00	94.1%	—	—
2026-06-07T00:00:00+00:00	93.6%	—	—
2026-06-07T06:00:00+00:00	92.4%	—	—
2026-06-07T12:00:00+00:00	94.7%	—	—
2026-06-07T18:00:00+00:00	95.5%	—	—
2026-06-08T00:00:00+00:00	95.7%	—	—
2026-06-08T06:00:00+00:00	94.5%	—	—
2026-06-08T12:00:00+00:00	95.7%	—	—
2026-06-08T18:00:00+00:00	94.7%	—	—
2026-06-09T00:00:00+00:00	95.6%	—	—
2026-06-09T06:00:00+00:00	94.0%	—	—
2026-06-09T12:00:00+00:00	95.3%	—	—
2026-06-09T18:00:00+00:00	97.0%	—	—
2026-06-10T00:00:00+00:00	98.1%	—	—
2026-06-10T06:00:00+00:00	97.9%	69.5%	—
2026-06-10T12:00:00+00:00	98.7%	1.8%	0.0%
2026-06-10T18:00:00+00:00	99.2%	56.0%	—
2026-06-11T00:00:00+00:00	99.5%	45.0%	4.6%
2026-06-11T06:00:00+00:00	99.6%	51.3%	—
2026-06-11T12:00:00+00:00	99.8%	47.3%	3.2%
2026-06-11T18:00:00+00:00	99.9%	—	—
2026-06-12T00:00:00+00:00	99.9%	50.0%	1.6%
2026-06-12T06:00:00+00:00	99.9%	—	—
2026-06-12T12:00:00+00:00	100.0%	43.7%	2.9%
2026-06-12T18:00:00+00:00	100.0%	—	—

THE MODEL BOX SCORE

Forecasts & evidence

MODEL	YES	MEAN	SPREAD σ	INITIALIZATION UTC	BRIER ↓

Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.

SETTLEMENT & PROVENANCE

High ≥ 76°F · KLAX

Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.

WP-KLAX-20260612-TMAX-GE76
Opened May 28 · 12:00 UTC

Original listing: Los Angeles runs hot-for-here: 76°F+ · Fri Jun 12

Original prop, full history & receipt ↗