— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
89¢
eps
82¢
icon
71¢
nbm
54¢
wn2
26¢
aifs
23¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F8¢
72–73°F20¢
74–75°F29¢
76–77°F24¢
78–79°F12¢
80–81°F4¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KABQ-20261021-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-14T11:21:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape