— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
78¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
44¢
hres
38¢
eps
34¢
aifs
21¢
wn2
17¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
54–55°F1¢
56–57°F4¢
58–59°F8¢
60–61°F13¢
62–63°F18¢
64–65°F19¢
66–67°F16¢
68–69°F11¢
70–71°F6¢
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,316 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.851 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KABQ-20261026-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-19T11:21:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape