— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
57¢
ndfd
55¢
aifs
54¢
icon
52¢
nbm
43¢
eps
43¢
hres
38¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
56–57°F1¢
58–59°F4¢
60–61°F11¢
62–63°F21¢
64–65°F25¢
66–67°F21¢
68–69°F11¢
70–71°F4¢
72–73°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,153 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.883.
Receipts
prop id WP-KATL-20261018-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-11T11:19:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape