— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
81¢
hres
80¢
wn2
60¢
nbm
52¢
aifs
24¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
56–57°F1¢
58–59°F3¢
60–61°F9¢
62–63°F18¢
64–65°F24¢
66–67°F22¢
68–69°F14¢
70–71°F6¢
72–73°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,104 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.883.
Receipts
prop id WP-KATL-20261018-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-11T07:31:39+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape