— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
90¢
aifs
89¢
icon
82¢
nbm
76¢
eps
75¢
hres
73¢
ndfd
56¢
rrfs
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F9¢
72–73°F23¢
74–75°F31¢
76–77°F23¢
78–79°F9¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KATL-20261020-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-15T04:47:50+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape