daily prop · Atlanta, GA · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Atlanta runs hot-for-here: 81°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +6394 · decimal 64.94

on the tape

81°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		21¢
wn2		10¢
hres		7¢
icon		4¢
ndfd		4¢
rrfs		2¢
eps		1¢
nbm		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F2¢

70–71°F9¢

72–73°F23¢

74–75°F31¢

76–77°F23¢

78–79°F9¢

80–81°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KATL-20261020-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:49+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape