— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
91¢
wn2
82¢
icon
81¢
hres
68¢
eps
67¢
nbm
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F15¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F28¢
78–79°F17¢
80–81°F6¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,361 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.86.
Receipts
prop id WP-KATL-20261022-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-10-15T11:39:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape