daily prop · Atlanta, GA · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 23

Atlanta runs hot-for-here: 80°F+ · Fri Oct 23

5¢

american +1900 · decimal 20.0

on the tape

80°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		24¢
ndfd		16¢
aifs		15¢
hres		13¢
icon		12¢
nbm		5¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F1¢

68–69°F5¢

70–71°F13¢

72–73°F22¢

74–75°F25¢

76–77°F19¢

78–79°F10¢

80–81°F3¢

82–83°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,312 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.165 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KATL-20261023-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-16T14:19:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape