daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Austin high ≥ 80°F · Mon Oct 19

28¢

american +255 · decimal 3.55

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		74¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		54¢
eps		41¢
aifs		26¢
hres		22¢
wn2		22¢
icon		7¢
hrrr		4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261019-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-19T04:31:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape