daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

Austin high ≥ 84°F · Tue Oct 20

41¢

american +142 · decimal 2.42

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		76¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
eps		52¢
now		35¢
aifs		34¢
hres		31¢
wn2		30¢
hrrr		27¢
icon		23¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F1¢

80–81°F15¢

82–83°F44¢

84–85°F33¢

86–87°F6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261020-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:28+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape