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daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

Austin high ≥ 87°F · Tue Oct 20

21¢
american +378 · decimal 4.78
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 87°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1310/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
54¢
ndfd
53¢
icon
39¢
aifs
22¢
hres
16¢
eps
14¢
wn2
6¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F1¢
80–81°F15¢
82–83°F44¢
84–85°F33¢
86–87°F6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261020-TMAX-GE87 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape