daily prop · Billings, MT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Sat Sep 12

Billings high ≥ 68°F · Sat Sep 12

settled · observed 66

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 100¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		79¢
eps		57¢
ndfd		55¢
aifs		52¢
hres		44¢
nbm		31¢
icon		4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBIL-20260912-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-08T03:38:26+00:00 · settled 2026-09-13T13:54:01+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape