daily prop · Billings, MT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Fri Oct 2

Billings high ≥ 77°F · Fri Oct 2

YES

settled · observed 80

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		91¢
hres		89¢
aifs		77¢
nbm		68¢
icon		66¢
wn2		62¢
ndfd		56¢
eps		52¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBIL-20261002-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-01T03:11:50+00:00 · settled 2026-10-03T13:21:35+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape