daily prop · Billings, MT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Sat Oct 17

Billings high ≥ 73°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 75

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hrrr		100¢
hres		85¢
rrfs		66¢
wn2		60¢
ndfd		56¢
eps		56¢
aifs		49¢
nbm		44¢
icon		32¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBIL-20261017-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-13T04:16:23+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:04:54+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape