daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Wed Sep 16

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 92°F+ · Wed Sep 16

98¢

american -6394 · decimal 1.02

★ golden on the tape

92°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 92°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		100¢
nbm		99¢
rrfs		99¢
eps		96¢
hres		92¢
aifs		92¢
wn2		89¢
icon		74¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

90–91°F2¢

92–93°F9¢

94–95°F22¢

96–97°F30¢

98–99°F23¢

100–101°F10¢

102–103°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,590 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.747 vs climatology 9.303.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260916-TMAX-GE92 · opened 2026-09-10T03:10:10+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape