— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
98¢
icon
90¢
hres
89¢
aifs
87¢
nbm
60¢
wn2
58¢
ndfd
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
92–93°F3¢
94–95°F14¢
96–97°F30¢
98–99°F32¢
100–101°F17¢
102–103°F4¢
104–105°F0¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,847 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.256.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20260918-TMAX-GE93 · opened 2026-09-12T03:17:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape