— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
82¢
eps
81¢
aifs
76¢
icon
62¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
54¢
wn2
45¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
94–95°F7¢
96–97°F35¢
98–99°F43¢
100–101°F13¢
102–103°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,845 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.258.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20260918-TMAX-GE96 · opened 2026-09-14T04:11:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape