daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Sep 25

Nashville high ≥ 82°F · Fri Sep 25

32¢

american +215 · decimal 3.15

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		70¢
hrrr		67¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
aifs		53¢
eps		38¢
rrfs		35¢
hres		23¢
wn2		15¢
icon		4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

74–75°F1¢

76–77°F7¢

78–79°F21¢

80–81°F32¢

82–83°F26¢

84–85°F10¢

86–87°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,208 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.558 vs climatology 9.163.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260925-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-09-19T03:08:55+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape