— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
12¢
ndfd
11¢
eps
5¢
icon
4¢
wn2
2¢
nbm
2¢
aifs
2¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F17¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F25¢
82–83°F15¢
84–85°F6¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,109 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.736 vs climatology 9.177.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20260926-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-19T07:39:54+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape