— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
76¢
aifs
68¢
icon
61¢
nbm
56¢
wn2
44¢
hres
40¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F2¢
76–77°F7¢
78–79°F19¢
80–81°F28¢
82–83°F25¢
84–85°F14¢
86–87°F4¢
88–89°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,730 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.524 vs climatology 9.015.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261006-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-29T07:22:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape