— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
86¢
aifs
85¢
hres
84¢
icon
70¢
wn2
66¢
nbm
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F1¢
80–81°F4¢
82–83°F15¢
84–85°F28¢
86–87°F29¢
88–89°F16¢
90–91°F5¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,734 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.699 vs climatology 9.005.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261007-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-09-30T07:31:59+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape