daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Wed Oct 7

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 86°F+ · Wed Oct 7

47¢

american +115 · decimal 2.15

on the tape

86°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		59¢
aifs		59¢
wn2		58¢
rrfs		57¢
eps		56¢
nbm		41¢
hres		38¢
icon		19¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

80–81°F4¢

82–83°F16¢

84–85°F31¢

86–87°F30¢

88–89°F14¢

90–91°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,835 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.525 vs climatology 8.991.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261007-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-09-30T07:32:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape