— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
90¢
nbm
23¢
ndfd
23¢
icon
2¢
aifs
0¢
rrfs
0¢
hres
0¢
wn2
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F6¢
74–75°F15¢
76–77°F24¢
78–79°F25¢
80–81°F17¢
82–83°F8¢
84–85°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,838 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.698 vs climatology 8.977.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261010-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-03T08:04:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape