daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 16

Nashville high ≥ 71°F · Fri Oct 16

97¢

american -3105 · decimal 1.03

★ golden on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		100¢
now		100¢
wn2		100¢
icon		100¢
hrrr		96¢
aifs		96¢
rrfs		93¢
hres		90¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		25¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F7¢

72–73°F23¢

74–75°F35¢

76–77°F25¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261016-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-14T02:59:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape