— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
100¢
icon
86¢
wn2
70¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
47¢
aifs
40¢
hres
22¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F23¢
74–75°F35¢
76–77°F25¢
78–79°F8¢
80–81°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261016-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-13T04:15:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape