daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 16

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Fri Oct 16

2¢

american +3949 · decimal 40.49

on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		98¢
icon		37¢
aifs		4¢
hres		3¢
rrfs		2¢
wn2		1¢
nbm		0¢
ndfd		0¢
hrrr		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F7¢

72–73°F23¢

74–75°F35¢

76–77°F25¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261016-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-09T07:51:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape