daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Wed Oct 21

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Wed Oct 21

4¢

american +2686 · decimal 27.86

on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		21¢
hres		14¢
eps		13¢
rrfs		10¢
wn2		8¢
ndfd		7¢
icon		2¢
nbm		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F7¢

74–75°F19¢

76–77°F30¢

78–79°F26¢

80–81°F12¢

82–83°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261021-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape