daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 22

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Thu Oct 22

4¢

american +2733 · decimal 28.33

on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		21¢
wn2		14¢
hres		12¢
eps		10¢
ndfd		10¢
rrfs		8¢
icon		4¢
nbm		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F2¢

72–73°F8¢

74–75°F21¢

76–77°F30¢

78–79°F24¢

80–81°F11¢

82–83°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261022-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape