daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 23

Nashville high ≥ 77°F · Fri Oct 23

53¢

american -113 · decimal 1.89

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		72¢
aifs		64¢
ndfd		55¢
eps		51¢
icon		46¢
hres		46¢
nbm		41¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F2¢

72–73°F9¢

74–75°F21¢

76–77°F29¢

78–79°F23¢

80–81°F11¢

82–83°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261023-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-18T04:13:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape