daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Mon Sep 14

Boise high ≥ 71°F · Mon Sep 14

settled · observed 69

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 100¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		78¢
aifs		77¢
ndfd		57¢
eps		49¢
nbm		41¢
hres		38¢
rrfs		29¢
icon		13¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260914-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-09-09T03:06:43+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:26:23+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape