daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Wed Sep 23

Boise high ≥ 84°F · Wed Sep 23

YES

settled · observed 87

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		88¢
aifs		80¢
icon		68¢
ndfd		56¢
hres		54¢
wn2		53¢
eps		38¢
rrfs		13¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260923-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-09-17T15:00:56+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:09+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape